No asteroid poses an imminent threat to Earth in 2026 or the near future, according to NASA’s Center for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) latest assessment updated January 2025. The agency’s Sentry monitoring system currently tracks zero objects with significant impact probability through 2026, with all known near-Earth asteroids maintaining safe distances exceeding 4.6 million miles during their closest approaches.
What Did NASA’s Latest Risk Assessment Reveal?
NASA’s January 2025 update shows that asteroid 99942 Apophis, previously considered a potential threat, will pass Earth safely on April 13, 2029, at a distance of 19,800 miles—close but harmless. The Sentry system continuously monitors over 30,000 near-Earth objects, and none currently rank above zero on the Torino Impact Hazard Scale for the next decade. CNEOS data confirms this represents the most comprehensive asteroid tracking capability in history.
Which Asteroids Are Scientists Currently Monitoring?
Beyond Apophis, astronomers are tracking asteroid 2023 DW, which has a 1-in-560 chance of impact in 2046—far beyond 2026 concerns. Asteroid Bennu remains under observation with a 1-in-2,700 chance of impact in 2182. These distant probabilities underscore that no near-term threats exist, and NASA’s planetary defense capabilities continue advancing through missions like DART, which successfully altered an asteroid’s orbit in 2022.
Bottom line: Earth faces no credible asteroid impact threat in 2026, and NASA’s monitoring systems provide decades of advance warning for any future concerns.